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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at MVP X RDO Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.6% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -3.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Wind Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Optical Control | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Royal Oathguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Countermeasure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Benediction Angel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Byakko's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |